Dec 13, 2025

Rochester Construction Leaders Forecast Strong 2026 Market

Westside Construction Group
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Local Industry Experts Predict Robust Growth Despite Labor Challenges

Rochester construction industry leaders are expressing optimism about 2026, with major firms forecasting strong growth in healthcare, education, and public sector projects. The American Institute of Architects projects nonresidential construction spending to rise 4% in 2026, and Rochester's largest construction companies say that outlook aligns perfectly with what's happening in the local market.

LeChase Construction: Focusing on People and Innovation

James "Jim" McKenna, senior vice president of LeChase Construction Services—a Rochester-based full-service construction management firm established in 1944—stated in an interview published December 11, 2025 by Rochester Business Journal: "We're pretty optimistic for a strong 2026 locally. We don't see a large change over from 2025."

McKenna highlighted that core sectors like higher education, healthcare, and manufacturing continue to show steady demand locally heading into 2026. Nationally, those segments remain among the healthiest, with federal incentives helping sustain manufacturing and energy-related projects.

LeChase is implementing innovative strategies to address ongoing workforce constraints:

  • Off-site Fabrication and Modular Construction: LeChase is expanding its use of prefabrication and modular construction to counter labor shortages and improve jobsite efficiency. The company now has the ability to modularize and prefabricate exterior wall panels, interior walls, and even complete rooms in controlled environments before installation. According to McKinsey & Co., modular construction can shorten construction schedules by 20–50%.
  • Workforce Development Focus: The company emphasizes developing internal talent, expanding opportunities for disadvantaged contractors, and maintaining a strong internship program.
  • Technology and AI Adoption: LeChase remains "focused on innovation, keeping pace with industry technologies and AI" to stay competitive.

Pike Construction: Managing Labor Scarcity and Cost Pressures

Terry Stevens, executive vice president at Pike Construction Services—a fifth-generation firm founded in Rochester in 1873—outlined the major challenges shaping the industry: "Labor continued to be a constraint in all aspects. The real question industrywide as we progress into 2026 isn't so much about do we have the work, but do we have the resources and people to actually perform the work."

According to the Associated Builders and Contractors, approximately 499,000 to 500,000 new skilled workers are required in 2026 to keep up with industry demand. Stevens emphasized additional challenges including:

  • Workforce Demographic Shift: Skilled workers are retiring faster than younger people are entering the trades, creating ongoing supply constraints.
  • Immigration Tightening: Reduced immigration is limiting the pipeline of skilled workers entering the industry.
  • Supply Chain and Tariff Impacts: Long-lead items such as electrical switchgear continue to present procurement challenges. "In some cases, it's very difficult to provide an owner with a final date of completion," Stevens noted.

Retrofit and Renovation Driving Market Demand

Pike is responding to these challenges through transparency, communication, and innovative project delivery. One key trend Stevens highlighted: "Right now it's not just about building from the ground up, it's also about jobs where people are trying to use what they already have and trying to retrofit."

A prime example is the Rochester Broadway Theater League's (RBTL) partnership with Pike and LaBella Associates on a $65 million renovation effort of its West Herr Performing Arts Center on East Main Street. Named PROJECT RESTOURATION, it will be the largest renovation by an arts organization in Rochester's history when completed in 2030.

Stevens emphasized that teams delivering "project certainty in cost, budget and schedule" while exploring new technology tools will continue to succeed. Pike remains bullish on Rochester's market: "There's still a lot of opportunities out there. People are still building. I expect a strong market next year nationally and locally."

What This Means for Rochester Contractors and Stakeholders

The outlook from Rochester's two largest construction firms aligns with broader industry trends. Both companies emphasize the importance of investing in people, embracing technology, and adapting to evolving market conditions. For construction professionals, contractors, suppliers, and business owners in the Rochester market, 2026 presents opportunities in:

  • Healthcare facility expansion and renovation
  • Higher education campus improvements
  • Public sector infrastructure projects
  • Historic building preservation and adaptive reuse
  • Technology-enhanced project delivery

Source: Rochester Business Journal, December 11, 2025 - "Rochester construction leaders forecast strong 2026" by Caurie Putnam. Statistics from American Institute of Architects, McKinsey & Co., and Associated Builders and Contractors.

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