Nov 23, 2025

Construction Starts Surge 21% in October Led by Megaprojects

Westside Construction Group
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Dodge Construction Network Reports Strong October Groundbreakings Driven by Data Centers and Manufacturing

U.S. construction starts experienced significant momentum in October 2025, with total groundbreakings jumping 21.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion, according to the Dodge Construction Network. This substantial surge was propelled by 10 megaproject groundbreakings each valued at $1 billion or more, highlighting the concentration of construction activity in high-tech facilities and advanced manufacturing.

The October results build on construction growth momentum from August and September, indicating sustained strength in the U.S. construction market heading into the final quarter of 2025. However, industry analysts caution that growth remains concentrated in specific market segments rather than broadly distributed across all construction types.

Megaproject Domination: Data Centers and Manufacturing Lead

The 21.1% surge in construction starts was substantially driven by megaproject activity. The 10 billion-dollar-plus projects that broke ground in October included several landmark undertakings:

  • $15.1 billion Calcasieu Pass LNG Export Terminal and Pipeline (Cameron, Louisiana)
  • $9 billion Rio Grande LNG facility (Phase 2, Trains 4 & 5) (Brownsville, Texas)
  • $7.5 billion Meta Hyperion data center (Richland, Louisiana)
  • $5.9 billion Frederick Douglass Tunnel improvement (Maryland)
  • $1.9 billion LA Convention Center expansion (Los Angeles)
  • $1.7 billion Eli Lilly manufacturing facility (Lebanon, Indiana)
  • $214 million Andare Residences (Fort Lauderdale, Florida)
  • $165 million 6 East 43rd St. office-to-residential conversion (New York City)
  • $132 million Jefferson Bonnie Brae apartments (Denton, Texas)

The list underscores the dominance of technology infrastructure and energy projects in driving U.S. construction activity.

Nonresidential Construction Growth Concentrated in Tech Sectors

Nonresidential construction starts, which include commercial and institutional projects, jumped 17.9% in October. However, this growth was highly concentrated in specific sectors:

  • Office and data centers surged 45.5% — reflecting aggressive expansion by technology firms and cloud computing companies
  • Manufacturing activity spiked 107.2% — demonstrating continued investment in domestic production capacity
  • Retail starts posted 15.1% increase — suggesting consumer-facing commercial investment
  • Hotels posted declines — indicating uneven recovery in hospitality sector
  • Warehouse projects also declined — potentially reflecting market saturation in logistics real estate

This sectoral breakdown reveals that not all commercial construction is expanding uniformly.

Expert Analysis: Megaprojects Masking Broader Moderation

Sarah Martin, Associate Director of Forecasting at Dodge Construction Network, provided important context about the growth dynamics: "Growth in construction starts continued to be propped up by high-value megaproject activity last month. Outside of these high-tech buildings, however, growth appears more moderate."

This analysis highlights a critical distinction in interpreting October's strong overall numbers. While the 21.1% surge appears robust, the underlying reality reflects concentrated investment in specific technologies and sectors rather than broad-based construction expansion across all market segments.

Year-to-Date Performance Through October

Looking at longer-term trends provides additional perspective on 2025 construction activity:

  • Overall nonresidential starts: +5.6% year-to-date
  • Commercial groundbreakings: +13.6% — led by data centers and office
  • Institutional projects: -2.2% — including education and healthcare facilities

Over the 12-month period ending October 2025:

  • Total nonresidential starts: +7.5%
  • Commercial and institutional: +26.9%
  • Commercial alone: up, institutional: +0.2%
  • Manufacturing groundbreakings: -16.3% — a surprising decline despite October's 107% surge

The 12-month perspective reveals that while technology and data center projects drive recent activity, the broader manufacturing sector remains challenged.

Infrastructure Surge: Utility Construction Expands Dramatically

Nonbuilding construction starts, including highways, bridges, and infrastructure projects, rebounded 59.4% in October. This rebound was primarily driven by utility construction surging 384.5% — a massive increase reflecting substantial investment in electrical grid improvements, renewable energy infrastructure, and utility modernization.

However, this infrastructure surge was partially offset by highway and bridge work declining 23.7%, indicating uneven investment patterns across transportation infrastructure types.

Over the 12-month period ending October 2025, total nonbuilding starts jumped 22.9%, indicating sustained infrastructure investment momentum.

Residential Construction Declines Significantly

In stark contrast to commercial and infrastructure growth, residential construction retreated in October:

  • Overall residential construction: -15.4%
  • Multifamily starts: -38.5% — a sharp pullback
  • Single-family starts: +2.2% — marginal growth

For the 12-month period ending October 2025, total residential groundbreakings fell 3.1%, indicating sustained pressure in the residential construction market even as commercial activity expands.

What This Means for Contractors

The October construction data presents a complex market picture for contractors and construction firms:

Opportunities in Data Center and Tech Infrastructure

The surge in data center and technology facility construction represents significant opportunities for contractors with expertise in specialized facilities, rapid deployment requirements, and technology infrastructure. These projects often command premium rates and extended schedules.

Manufacturing Sector Volatility

The 107% October surge in manufacturing groundbreakings contrasts sharply with the -16.3% decline over 12 months. Contractors should approach manufacturing sector forecasts with caution, recognizing that activity may be cyclical rather than representing sustained demand.

Residential Construction Headwinds

The -15.4% residential decline and especially the -38.5% multifamily pullback signal continued market challenges in housing construction. Contractors focused on residential work should expect competitive pressure and potentially declining workload in coming quarters unless market conditions shift.

Infrastructure Investment Opportunity

The 384.5% surge in utility construction and broader 59.4% increase in nonbuilding starts reflects substantial infrastructure investment. Contractors with experience in utility work, electrical systems, and infrastructure projects should position themselves for expanded opportunities.

Strategic Implications for Market Planning

The October construction starts data suggests the market is increasingly bifurcated:

  • Technology and infrastructure-focused contractors face expanding opportunities
  • Residential and general commercial contractors face market contraction or slower growth
  • Specialized megaproject contractors benefit from the concentration of large-scale projects
  • Regional construction firms should assess whether their local markets are participating in data center and utility investment trends

Looking Ahead

As 2025 concludes and planning for 2026 intensifies, contractors should monitor several key indicators:

  • Continued data center construction demand (driven by AI infrastructure needs)
  • Manufacturing sector sustainability or volatility
  • Residential market recovery or further decline
  • Utility and infrastructure investment momentum
  • Interest rate and financing environment impact on project economics

The 21.1% October surge in construction starts represents meaningful market activity, but contractors should recognize that this growth is concentrated in specific sectors. Success in the current market environment requires strategic focus on segments experiencing genuine demand expansion.

Sources: Construction Dive (November 21, 2025), Dodge Construction Network, U.S. Construction Industry Data

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